AI·未来
最新书摘:
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花心小萝卜2019-08-27后发优势:后进入市场中的企业,可以借鉴先行者的成功经验,规避先行者已经犯过的错误,学习和利用先行者成熟的技术和管理方式,甚至可以接受先行者的资本扶持,以较低的成本取得更大的成就。后发劣势:后发者再获得一定的成功后,会失去创新的动力,安于现状。
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花心小萝卜2019-08-21深度学习是所谓的“狭义人工智能”(narrow AI,或译作“弱人工智能”)——仅用于在特定领域能做出决策、预测和分类的人工智能应用。“通用人工智能”(general AI. 或译作“强人工智能”)——人类能做的,人工智能都可以做。
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风细细™2019-01-25I fear this ever-growing economic divide will force poor countries into a state of near-total dependence and subservience. Their governments may try to negotiate with the superpower that supplies their AI technology, trading market and data access for guarantees of economic aid for their population.AI-poor countries will find themselves unable to get a grip on the ladder of economic development, relegated to permanent subservient status. AI-rich countries will amass great wealth but also witness the widespread monopolization of the economy and a labor market divided into economic castes.
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风细细™2019-01-25Instead, it will simply take over the execution of tasks that meet two criteria: they can be optimized using data, and they do not require social interaction.
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风细细™2019-01-25While the two other GPTs ramped up productivity by deskilling the production of goods, ICT is instead often—though not always—skill biased in favor of high-skilled workers.
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风细细™2019-01-25The positive-feedback loop generated by increasing amounts of data means that AI-driven industries naturally tend toward monopoly, simultaneously driving down prices and eliminating competition among firms.Broadly speaking, this change in the mode of production was one of deskilling. These factories took tasks that once required high-skilled workers (for example, handcrafting textiles) and broke the work down into far simpler tasks that could be done by low-skilled workers (operating a steam-driven power loom). In the process, these technologies greatly increased the amount of these goods produced and drove down prices.
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风细细™2019-01-25Combine these three currents—a cultural acceptance of copying, a scarcity mentality, and the willingness to dive into any promising new industry—and you have the psychological foundations of China’s internet ecosystem.
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风细细™2019-01-25Growing up, their parents didn’t talk to them about changing the world. Rather, they talked about survival, about a responsibility to earn money so they can take care of their parents when their parents are too old to work in the fields.
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风细细™2019-01-25Robot-operated factories will likely relocate to be closer to their customers in large markets, pulling away the ladder that developing countries like China and the “Asian Tigers” of South Korea and Singapore climbed up on their way to becoming high-income, technology-driven economies.
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风细细™2019-01-25Elite AI researchers still have the potential to push the field to the next level, but those advances have occurred once every several decades.
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风细细™2019-01-25Deep-learning pioneer Andrew Ng has compared AI to Thomas Edison’s harnessing of electricity: a breakthrough technology on its own, and one that once harnessed can be applied to revolutionizing dozens of different industries.
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风细细™2019-01-25They do not signify rapid progress toward “general AI” or any other similar breakthrough on the level of deep learning. This is the age of implementation, and the companies that cash in on this time period will need talented entrepreneurs, engineers, and product managers.
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风细细™2019-01-25the casual observer—or even expert analyst—would be forgiven for believing that we are consistently breaking fundamentally new ground in artificial intelligence research.I believe this impression is misleading.
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风细细™2019-01-25In the eyes of most analysts, China’s technology industry was destined to play the same role in global AI that it had for decades: that of the copycat who lagged far behind the cutting edge.As I demonstrate in the following chapters, that analysis is wrong.
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风细细™2019-01-25But the great majority of China’s technology community didn’t properly wake up to the deep-learning revolution until its Sputnik Moment in 2016, a full decade behind the field’s breakthrough academic paper and four years after it proved itself in the computer vision competition.
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风细细™2019-01-25Deep learning’s most natural application is in fields like insurance and making loans.
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风细细™2019-01-25Researchers in the rule-based camp (also sometimes called “symbolic systems” or “expert systems”) attempted to teach computers to think by encoding a series of logical rules: If X, then Y.The “neural networks” camp, however, ..., these practitioners tried to reconstruct the human brain itself.Doing this requires massive amounts of relevant data, a strong algorithm, a narrow domain, and a concrete goal.Deep learning is what’s known as “narrow AI”
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风细细™2019-01-25These internet juggernauts had given the United States a dominance of the digital world that matched its military and economic power in the real world.
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花心小萝卜2019-09-06“精益创业”的核心理念是:创始人不知道市场需要怎样的产品,只有市场才知道。因此,创业公司不应该花大量的时间,投入大笔金钱,默默地开发自己眼中完美的产品,而是应该快速推出“最小可行产品”(minimum viable product),以此测试市场对该产品不同功能的需求。
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花心小萝卜2019-09-062010年10月,在经历了一年半的诉讼之后,北京人民法院判决人人网赔偿开心网人民币40万元,但这个前途似锦的挑战者此时已经元气大伤。一个月后,人人网到纽约证交所挂牌上市,融资7.4亿美元。