这次不一样：八百年金融危机史（珍藏版）
内容简介：
两位著名经济学家经过深入的研究、严谨的分析，指出历史上金融危机发生的频率、持续的时间和影响程度都惊人的相似。
作者简介：
卡门 M. 莱因哈特
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Veritas2013-09-07贪婪与恐惧，经济周期，繁荣与危机……这些都是逃不掉的，原因就是人性
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王钰淇2015-05-07援引大量数据，覆盖几乎五大洲，时间跨度自有“金融”至今，从债务到银行，到主权危机，来告诉我们，所有的金融危机，没有不一样，只是程度和影响范围而已，那么，调控政策、规避风险行为的取舍，就成了下一步思考的内容。
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冷眼旁观2015-10-04实证研究的书。一些数据和结论可以参考。
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[已注销]2012-04-09The transition from "emerging market" to "advanced economy" status does not come with diploma or a well-defined set of criteria to mark the upgrade. As Qian and Reinhart highlight, graduation can be defined as the attainment and subsequent mantainance of international investment-grade status; the emphasis here is on the maintenance part. Another way of decribing this criterion for graduation would be to say that the country has significantly and credibly reduced its chances of defaulting on its sovereign debt obligations. If it ever was a serial defaulter, it no longer is, and investors recognize it as such. Gaining access to capital markets is no longer a stop-and-go process. Graduation may also be defined as the achievement of some minimum threshold in terms of income per capita, a signi...
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[已注销]2012-04-09We should note that currency crashes tend to be more serious affairs when governments have been explicity or even implicitly fixing the exchange rate. Even an implicit guarantee of exchange rate stability can lull banks, corporation, and citizens into taking on heavy foreign currency liabilities, thinking there is a low risk of a sudden currency devaluation that will sharply increase the burden of carrying such loans. In a sense, the collapse of a currency is a collapse of a government guarantee on which the private sector might have relied, and therefore it constitutes a default on an important promise. Of course, large swings in exchange rates can also be traumatic for a country with a clear and explicit regime of floating exchange rates, especially if there are substantial levels of for...
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[已注销]2012-04-06How relevant are historical benchmarks in assessing the trajectory of a crisis such as the global financial crisis of the late 2000s, the Second Great Contraction? On the one hand, authorities now have arguably more flexible monetary policy frameworks, thanks particularly to a less rigid global exchange rate regime. And some central banks showed an aggressiveness early on by acting in a way that was notably absent in the 1930s or in the latter-day Japanese experience. On the other hand, we would be wise not to push too far the conceit that we are smarter than our predecessors. A few years back, many people would have said that improvements in financial engineering had done much to tame the business cycle and limit the risk of financial contagion.
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