觉醒的泥足巨人

觉醒的泥足巨人
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对世界聚光灯下的中国和印度来说,《觉醒的泥足巨人:中印经济崛起评估》更像是一本盛世危言之作。它不是要附和全世界主流媒体和学者对中国与印度的大加赞美和过高预期,而是直面这两个国家面临的长期制度和政治经济问题:收入增长缓慢的农业部门,居高不下的居民储蓄率和金融中介活动不足导致的资源配置低效率,机会和收入不平等的加大,问题重重的医疗、教育和社会保障,日益严重的环境破坏,利益分化导致的社会冲突加剧,政府治理中的问责失灵。所有这些问题在两国虽有所不同,但在可以预见的将来,它们都将对两国经济发展构成重大的结构性制约,如果这些问题得不到解决,中印经济就不可能“前景一片光明”。对于当前热议的民主、威权和经济发展的关系,作者认为,威权既非经济发展的充分条件,也非必要条件。威权体制下的中国面临着矛盾和冲突解决能力低下,存在过激反应、压制信息的潜在风险。而对印度来说,虽然民主体制使印度能更好地处理矛盾和冲突,为经济发展营造一个长远来说更稳定的政治环境,但是印度的民主政治常常沦为竞争性民粹主义,政客们通过短期的迎合和施舍以赢得选举,却伤害了长期投资,特别是物质基础设施的投资,从而阻碍了印度经济的发展。总之,《觉醒的泥足巨人:中印经济崛起评估》细致入微地描画了在当前全球经济重大调整的背景下,中印两国所面临的一系列复杂的政治经济状况,是一部极富洞见、发人深省的佳作。

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  • autumn_douban
    2013-05-05
    说得很客观,无论是对于印度还是对于中国。最欣赏他的一点就是他看到了中国一直以来就存在的中央和地方政权之间的权利之争带给中国的影响。在作者看来,中国之所以30多年来能够持续高速发展就是因为地方政府有了足够的财政权和行政权。
  • 橘实
    2012-11-28
    印度早就实行了民主制,经济却不如中国,是制度之错吗?其实民主只是经济发展的必要条件,而非充分条件。
  • 琳琅满木
    2019-04-23
    章节结构合理,就是内容有些过时了
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